Elon Musk says the SN15 rolls to launch pad in a few days. It has hundreds of design improvements across structures, avionics/software and engine. Next major technology rev is at SN20. Those ships will be orbit-capable with heat shield and stage separation system. Ascent success probability is high. However, SN20+ vehicles will probably need many flight attempts to survive Mach 25 entry heating and land intact. The SN10 and SN11 launches were a little over 3 weeks apart. The previous batch of SN15 rolls to launch pad in a few days. It has hundreds of design improvements across structures, avionics/software
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