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Top Kalshi-sponsored Futurist and Top 0.1% Predictor on Metaculus

I am a top ranked predictor on Metaculus. 90+% accuracy rate and 0.07 Brier score. Brier score of 0.25 is 50-50. This is top-tier for human forecasters and competitive with very good professional or market forecasts. Kalshi (sponsor) – sign up with my link: https://ift.tt/b3jNBWG ($50 sign-up bonus as stated in the video) Sponsored by ... Read more
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Trump Will Follow Biden Precedent to Pre-Emptively Pardon Elon Musk

If Democrats win the house, with pre-emptive Pardons of Elon Musk and others. Democrats wanted to charge Elon Musk for his involvement with DOGE and reducing funding for USAID. Republicans had wanted to charge Elon. Biden protected Fauci and others. Trump will protect Elon. For Democrats to get at Elon they will need to pierce ... Read more
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Tesla Robotaxi Ramp in Texas and Florida Tracking To Pass Waymo by End of 2026

Yesterday 4 million, Today 4.1 million Tesla unsupervised robotaxi miles. 1325 estimated unsupervised vehicles in Texas and Florida. $TSLA 700,000 miles per week and miles increasing at 17-20% per week. This is up from 550,000 miles in the week of Oct 12-18. 1204 robotaxi registered in Texas. 6000-8000 miles per week in Miami, Orlando and ... Read more
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Google Earnings Yesterday and Amazon Today Both Down

Amazon (AMZN) is down about 6% after hours primarily because it missed Q3 2026 expectations on both revenue and earnings, combined with heavy AI-related spending that has turned free cash flow sharply negative.⁠ Key results (Q3 2026) Revenue: $201.9 billion (up 12% YoY) vs. estimates around $202.2–$202.3 billion — slight miss.⁠CNBC EPS: $1.89 vs. estimates ... Read more
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