Future Stories

For full-year 2025, GOOGLE Other Bets posted an operating loss of $7.52 billion. This was up ~$3.1B (or ~$3B) from $4.4B in 2024. Waymp had higher employee compensation (especially a $2.1B one-time stock-based comp charge for Waymo in Q4, tied to its $16B funding round and $126B valuation) plus rising ops/R&D costs from scaling. Waymo ... Read more

The basics of Real GDP growth from first principles Real GDP measures the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced in an economy. Its growth comes from three sources (the Solow growth accounting identity): More labor (hours worked or workers). More capital (machines, buildings, infrastructure). Higher productivity (total factor productivity, or TFP—output per unit ... Read more

Most careers end up getting derailed because of a slow drift away from what the evolving marketplace demands. Because while experience is helpful, it’s not the only thing that sustains a career. In order to continue gaining opportunities, you have to stack new skills and make yourself “future proof.” The question is, where do you ... Read more

NASA had trouble with a confidence test for Artemis 2. The ground systems need to be repaied. NASA repaired and replaced seals after WDR-1 provided a great deal of data. They observed materially lower leak rates compared to prior observations during WDR-1. They observed enough and reached a point where waiting out additional troubleshooting was ... Read more

Helion’s Polaris prototype has become the first privately funded machine to demonstrate clearly measurable deuterium–tritium (D‑T) fusion and to reach 150 million °C plasma temperatures, marking a major but still early milestone on their path toward a commercial generator for the Microsoft PPA around 2028. Helion reports that its 7th prototype, Polaris, has achieved measurable ... Read more

Insatiable demand for AI is driving trillions in spending and those trillions will power the development of the moon and the entire solar system.

Anthropic researcher Nicholas Carlini published a blog post describing how he set 16 instances of the company’s Claude Opus 4.6 AI model loose on a shared codebase with minimal supervision, tasking them with building a C compiler from scratch. Over two weeks and nearly 2,000 Claude Code sessions costing about $20,000 in API fees, the ... Read more

President Trump mentioned a 15% annual GDP growth target. Progrowth Policy Lower interest rates and accommodative monetary policy to boost borrowing, investment, and consumption. Warsh’s perceived willingness to tolerate stronger growth without quick tightening. Complementary policies like tax cuts, deregulation, and energy production (drill baby drill) that Trump has long advocated. Achieving sustained 15% real ... Read more

Elon Musk has been talking about a city on the moon and mass drivers to launch billions of AI satellites. How is this possible? What would the business model be? Accredited investors can sign up for private Q & A This is a rendering of the SpaceX XAI moon mass driver plans from a distance. ... Read more