Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts from August, 2026

The AI 2027 Super AI Takeoff Scenario is Tracking to 2028-2032

The AI2027 superAI scenarios are tracking a bit slower but we are still heading quickly to SuperAI. Risk milestones are arriving ahead of the capability milestones that were supposed to produce them. There is a AI2027 tracking website and they observed capability predictions were running a bit behind but the SWE Verified benchmark caught up. ... Read more

If AI Gives Everyone the Same Financial Insights

When AI compresses the information edge and hands everyone roughly the same high-quality financial insights, pure “knowing more” stops being a reliable source of alpha. The remaining edge shifts to the parts that are still scarce. Judgment under uncertainty, creative synthesis, structural positioning, behavioral discipline, and the ability to act when others cannot. The Ken ... Read more

OpenAI Next Major Model Astra Solves Major Math Problems

Sebastien Bubeck of OpenAI says “yes, nonsofic groups exist”—as an example of “many new beautiful results” from Astra, next major OpenAI model. OpenAI published a page and PDF detailing ten advances across pure math and theoretical computer science. The arguments were generated by an internal version of Astra (total compute cost ~$2,000 at their Sol ... Read more