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Showing posts from December, 2024

What Mattered in 2024 ? Setting up the Future of AI, Robotics and Space

The most important things that happened in 2024 was the progress in AI, robotics and space capability. We are on the verge of AGI (Artificial general intelligence), robotaxi and fully reusable rockets. The most shocking images of the imminent future was the mechazilla catch of the SpaceX booster. As of 23 December 2024 the Starlink ... Read more

NANO Nuclear Will Adapt Micronuclear to Power Space Applications

NANO Nuclear Space (NNS) will focus on optimizing “ZEUS”, a solid core battery reactor, and “ODIN”, a low-pressure coolant reactor, for applications such as power systems for extraterrestrial projects and human sustaining environments, and potentially propulsion technology for long haul space missions. NNS’ initial focus will be on cis-lunar applications, referring to uses in the ... Read more

NANO Nuclear Acquires USNC Micro Modular Reactor Technology Via Bankruptcy

NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NNE) developing small nuclear fission reactors that can be moved with trucks announced that it has executed a definitive agreement to acquire select nuclear energy technology assets from Ultra Safe Nuclear Corporation and certain of its subsidiaries (collectively, “USNC”). The acquired assets include USNC’s patented Micro Modular Reactor (MMR) system, ... Read more

xAI Starts Receiving Nvidia GB200 Chips

xAI finished raising $6 billion in new funding and has begun receiving Nvidia GB200 chips. The chips are arriving about a month earlier than expected in a prior chart. I have adjusted by a month for xAI releases. I have also added the Google Gemini models. Google appears able to not have as much issue ... Read more

AGI Manhattan Project Recommended to Congress

The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission’s top recommendation to Congress is an AGI Manhattan project. It is recommended Congress establish and fund a Manhattan Project-like program dedicated to racing to and acquiring an Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) capability. AGI is generally defined as systems that are as good as or better than human capabilities ... Read more

10 Million GPU Data Centers on Earth and Mars

xAI is completing a 200,000 GPU data center in Memphis. They completed 100,000 GPUs two months ago and were adding another 100,000 GPUs. 300 Megawatts of power is supplied by natural gas powered turbines. Water cooling needs about one million gallons per day. xAI and Tesla are planning to build a one million GPU data ... Read more

OpenAI Releases O3 Model With High Performance and High Cost

OpenaI o3 sets new records in several key areas, particularly in reasoning, coding and mathematical problem-solving. It scores 75.7% on the semi-private eval in low-compute mode (for $20 per task in compute ) and 87.5% in high-compute mode (thousands of $ per task). It’s very expensive. It is not just brute force. These capabilities are ... Read more

Google Veo 2 vs OpenAI Sora

Google’s Veo 2 and OpenAI’s Sora are both leaders in AI video generation. Here are some screenshots from Google Veo 2 generated video. Google Veo 2 Has More Resolution and Video Quality Google Veo 2 is capable of generating videos in up to 4K resolution, which is a significant advantage over OpenAI’s Sora, which is ... Read more

Google Versus xAI AI Compute Scaling

Google Gemini 2 models were trained with Google’s Tensor Processing Unit version 6 while Gemini 1 and 1.5 were trained with Tensor Processing unit version 4. Google Gemini 2.0 was trained with Trillium, Google’s sixth-generation Tensor Processing Unit (TPU). This custom AI accelerator is now generally available to cloud customers, showcasing Google’s commitment to building ... Read more

Will We Reach AGI in 2025? Google Genie 2 World Models Today

AI capabilities made progress in 2024 but there was a temporary slowdown in massive compute scaling for AI training or test time compute. 2025 will see massive AI training scaling. Dr. Alan Thompson is a trusted thought leader in AI, frequently cited by institutions like Microsoft, RAND Corporation, and the University of Oxford. He publishes ... Read more

Google Gemini 2 is the New Top Ranked Model and Improves Agent Capabilities

Google Gemini 2 is now the top ranked large language model. Gemini 2.0 Experimental Advanced: Complex Task Handling: This version shows significantly improved performance on complex tasks such as coding, math, reasoning, and following instructions, positioning it as Google’s best AI model yet in terms of these capabilities. Benchmark Performance: In benchmarks like Chatbot Arena, ... Read more

Nvidia GB200 Rack Supply Chain Ramp Will Be a Few Months Slower

TrendForce projects that Nvidia GB200 Rack mass production and peak shipments are unlikely to occur until between Q2 and Q3 of 2025. This is largely due to the higher design specifications of the GB200 rack, including its requirements for high-speed interconnect interfaces and thermal design power (TDP), which significantly exceed market norms. The NVIDIA GB ... Read more

Sabine and Neil deGrasse Tyson Are Wrong About Mars

Science Youtuber Sabine Hossenfelder and Neil deGrasse Tyson, Science communicator and astrophysicist claim there is no business case or economic reasons to go to Mars. They also claim there are technological reasons why it cannot happen. They claim Mars cannot be Terraformed for 100s of Years and this would be a show stopper. They claim ... Read more

TSMC Assures Musk of Chip Supply for Teslabot

Elon Musk received assurances from TSMC Chairman CC Wei that they would be able to supply the volume of chips needed for the Teslabot. If this this is accurate then it is to ensure AI5 chips in quantities for Teslabot that are beyond the 5-10 million chips needed for new cars in the 2026-2028 timeframe. ... Read more

Will Tesla Reach $500 Today or By Friday?

Tesla continues its epic run. Tesla China released another good weekly of insurance registrations. This is mainly an indication that the fourth quarter volume production and delivery numbers on January 2, 2025 will be solid. The main driver to the end of the year is the need for institutions to get to equal weight or ... Read more

Tesla China VP and Full Self Driving Nearing China Release

All indications are that the Tesla FSD (Full self driving) software stack is running on chinese cars to provide actually smart summon and dispatch. This feature needs the FSD software. Full activation of FSD in China will occur with regulatory approval. This approval seems very near. Tao Lin, Tesla’s global vice president, said: “All models ... Read more

Broadcom Building Three One Million GPU AI Supercomputers for 2027

Broadcom predicts serviceable market for AI XPU and networking could reach $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027 and company is a market leader. During Broadcom’s Q4 2024 earnings call, CEO Hock Tan revealed that three major hyperscale clients are planning multi-generational AI XPU deployments, aiming for 1 million XPU clusters by 2027. Broadcom collaborates ... Read more

Elon Musk Trillionaire in 2025?

Elon Musk’s net worth of $455 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. This wealth is about $180 billion for SpaceX, $182 billion from Tesla, $60 billion for some form of option package, $30 billion Neuralink, xAI, X and Boring Company and $10 billion in other assets. Elon’s SpaceX holding went down from 54% to ... Read more

Patents Enabling Millions of GPUs for AI With Microsecond Timing WITHOUT Software Control

Tesla and xAI have been to scale coherent GPU AI clusters beyond the 33,000 GPU limit by NOT synchronize all nodes simultaneously. Synchronizing all nodes becomes increasingly challenging at scale – the system implements a partition-based architecture with coordinated timing offsets. They communicate with an ethernet based network using a transport layer without software control ... Read more

Robust Error Detection to Enable Commercial Ready Quantum Computers from Quantum Circuits

I, Brian Wang, interviewed Andrei Petranko, Head of Product at Quantum Circuits and Neil Wu Becker, CEO and Co-founder of Nextbound – Advisor to Quantum Circuits. This is the second interview and article on Quantum Circuits by Brian Wang of Nextbigfuture. The previous article is linked here. The Equivalent of Built-in Checkbits In conventional computer ... Read more

Tesla Actual Smart Summon in China Now and FSD in China Soon

Tesla China has officially announced the launch of Actually Smart Summon (ASS) in China. The announcement says Actual Smart Summon is available with Enhanced Autopilot and FSD (Full Self Driving). Full Self Driving has not been authorized in China…yet. However, FSD will be available in China very soon. NEWS: Tesla China has officially announced the ... Read more

Tesla V4 Cabinet Solves Charging for Semi and Fast Charging Cybertruck

Today, Tesla has the V4 Cabinet which solves fast 500kW for cars and 1.2MW for Semi. This is HUGE. It solves getting Tesla Semi charging out to thousands of locations quickly. This is needed so that 50,000 Semi per year will be able charge and enable nationwide electric trucking. Tesla Supercharging first opening in 2012 ... Read more

Next Administrator Jared Isaacman Gives Vision for NASA and Space

The next NASA administrator Jared Isaacman talks about using Space to make the United States more economically competitive. Hiss vision and priorities for the space agency: Space Economy and Exploration: Isaacman emphasized the potential for a thriving space economy, suggesting that space holds significant potential for breakthroughs in manufacturing, biotechnology, mining, and new energy sources. ... Read more

Quantinuum Has 50 Logical Qubits with 98% Fidelity

Quantinuum, $5 B quantum computer company, announced its latest hardware milestone: the largest ever GHZ state created with logical qubits with a greater than 98% fidelity. Quantinuum is the world’s largest integrated quantum company ($5B valuation), Quantinuum is leading the development of the most powerful quantum computers and the most advanced quantum software solutions. With ... Read more

Quantum at the Air Force Research Lab

The Air Force Research Lab has more funding than DARPA (the Defense Advance Research Programs.) AFRL thinks quantum sensing and timing are applying now. Better quantum clocks are here today. We are very close to useful quantum networking. They have made 5-10 kilometer length fiber quantum networks.

New Institute to Create Basic Molecular Machines and Direct to Diamondoid Patents

Jeremy Barton is creating an institute to create basic molecular machines. A primary focus is to create basic motors. We need design tools, motors and more. He previously created an group that combined chemistry, physics, surface science to work on positional chemistry. $150 million was not enough. Here are patents related to mechanosynthesis and direct ... Read more

Atomically Precising Placement of Silicon to Make Kane Quantum Computers

There is progress to precisely placing silicon atoms to create qubits for quantum computers. The Kane quantum computer is a proposal for a scalable quantum computer proposed by Bruce Kane in 1998 who was then at the University of New South Wales. Often thought of as a hybrid between quantum dot and nuclear magnetic resonance ... Read more

Is It Too Late to Buy Tesla?

I updated my Tesla Share Price Predictions. Tesla has hit $394 per share. In October, Brian predicted that Tesla will reach $1000 by the end of 2025 and would reach $2500 by the end of 2027. In November, Brian predicted that Tesla will reach $450 by Feb 8, 2025. This is not and was not ... Read more

Debunking Neil deGrasse Tyson on Sports and Gender

Neil DeGrasse Tyson compared gender to weight classes in wrestling and suggested sports should be divided by hormone levels. The records for strength, speed and jumping are clear. Men are about 50% stronger, 10% faster and jump 15-20% higher in the same weight class. A women’s lifting record is about 70% of men. Men also ... Read more

Uranium from Seawater is Getting Cheaper than Mined Uranium

Researcher Jiang Biao of the Green Chemical Engineering Technology Research and Development Center of the Shanghai Advanced Institute of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and his team developed a nanofiber functional membrane, which successfully extracted kilogram-level uranium from seawater and reduced the cost from US$560 per kilogram It reaches US$150 per kilogram, which is very ... Read more

OpenAI is Walking Dead Like Intel

Intel was the leader with computer chips but lost the elad by failing to move from 10nm to nm. The Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger returned to Intel in 2021, he outlined an ambitious plan to restore Intel’s manufacturing leadership with a goal to achieve five nodes in four years, aiming to catch up with TSMC ... Read more

Tesla Gigafactories Are the Most Important Products

Tesla is achieving huge success with cars, trucks, megapacks and soon robotaxi and teslabot. All of the products are made by Gigafactories. NO matter how successful robotaxi and teslabot become they will be made by the factories. The Teslabots are and will work in the factories. The unboxed process of building cars like giant legos ... Read more

xAI Expanding to Over 1 Million GPUs

xAI, is expanding the Colossus supercomputer in Memphis, Tennessee from 100,000 to over 1 million GPUs. This expansion, which has already started, involves a substantial financial commitment, potentially in the tens of billions, and includes collaborations with Nvidia, Dell, and Supermicro for GPU supply and server assembly. xAI’s strategy is to lead in the AI ... Read more

Trump Has Selected Jared Isaacman as the Next NASA Administrator

President Trump has announced that he has selected Jared Isaacman as the next NASA Administrator. Jared was the commander of Inspiration4, a private spaceflight using @SpaceX’s Crew Dragon. Also, earlier this year he completed the first private spacewalk. Jared is the founder of Draken International, a private air force provider, and the founder and CEO ... Read more

Monkeys Cannot Produce Shakespeare

There have been two studies disprove the hypothesis infinite monkeys could eventually produce the works of Shakespeare. For number-crunching purposes, the researchers assumed that a keyboard contains 30 keys including all the letters of the English language plus common punctuation marks. As well as a single monkey, they also did the calculations using the current ... Read more

Creating 2001

OTOY unveiled an all new non-commercial documentary that explores the making ofA 2001: A Space Odyssey and its lasting impact in the history of space exploration, artificial intelligence, and visual effects. Directed by acclaimed documentarian Roger Lay, Jr., “2001: Creating Kubrick’s Space Odyssey” immerses viewers into the making of the visual universe in Stanley Kubrick ... Read more