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Showing posts from September, 2024

Israel Ground Attack into Lebanon and US Troop Buildup in the Middle East

The IDF (Israeli Defense forces) have reportedly crossed into Lebanon in limited operations. They are taking out tunnels, minefields and some border villages and towns. Official IDF statement. In accordance with the decision of the political echelon, a few hours ago, the IDF began limited, localized, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence against ... Read more

Tesla China Megapack Factory is Over Twice As Big as Expected

I, Brian Wang, noticed that an aerial view of the Tesla China Megapack factory was revealing a building that is over the twice the size of the Lathrop California Tesla Megapack factory. I had a discussion with Bradford Ferguson of Rebellionaire who has visited the Lathrop Factory to count Megapack production. Brian White was on ... Read more

Chuck Cook Drives Tesla Cybertruck With FSD 12.5.5

Tesla Cybertrucks now have FSD. Full Self Driving 12.5.5 provides Cybertrucks and other Tesla cars with new and improved FSD. This is also the first version that merges highway and city street driving. Previously, highway driving was handled by autopilot. Autopilot highway had less than one accident every 7 million miles. FSD 12.5.5 is superior ... Read more

Global Birthrate Collapse Will Be Worse than The Black Death

Jim Rickards warns of the collapse in China’s population and collapse in global population. Nextbigfuture described these issues in mid-2023 over 15 months ago. I described the collapse as worse than the black death and Jim use the same description. Jim Rickards is an economist, lawyer, and investment banker with 40 years of experience in ... Read more

Sovereign AI

Sylvia Acevedo, Board member of Qualcomm, gave a talk on Sovereign AI at the Ignite AI Infra conference. Sylvia gave an overview of the landscape of governance around AI. She discussed what Sovereign AI is and why it matters. Data Centers are all over the world. AI is will be shaped by the governance. The ... Read more

OpenAI Converting from Non-Profit to For Profit and Sam Altman Will Get $10 Billion

OpenAI is working on a plan to restructure its core business into a for-profit benefit corporation that will no longer be controlled by its non-profit board. CEO Sam Altman and likely many employees will get equity. The reports are Sam will get 7% of the company which is valued at $150 billion. 7% would be ... Read more

Starfactories and Gigafactories Will Make Mars Profitable

SpaceX colonization of Mars will involve trillions in costs. How can Mars become a money maker? Europe colonized the United States but the United States economy grew to be significant. From 1700 to 1774, the output of the thirteen colonies increased 12-fold, giving the colonies an economy about 30% the size of Britain’s at the ... Read more

Hyperscalers Like Microsoft Are Far Better Customers for Nuclear Energy

Microsoft and the companies making AI data centers will be great customers for nuclear energy. Constellation has contracted with Constellation for the energy from restarting Three Mile Island Unit 1. Microsoft has struck a 20-year deal with Constellation to draw power from what was once the Three Mile Island Nuclear Generating Station on the Susquehanna ... Read more

Tesla FSD 12.5.4 Able to Track Driver Attention Even With Sunglasses

Tesla has release FSD 12.5.4 which is able to track driver attention even with sun glasses. Tesla FSD is able drive through complex parking lots. Your Tesla can now drive itself through complex parking lots to find you https://t.co/ATqMCnntcQ — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 23, 2024 First run with FSD V12.5.2.1 on a Hybrid setting ... Read more

Boeing Has Lost $25 Billion Over Five Shockingly Bad Years

Boeing has been constantly losing money for the last five years with a combined $25 billion in losses. Everything about Boeing has been shockingly bad for over five years. All of their commercial and military plane models have big problems. All of their space vehicles and rockets have big problems. Will Boeing turnaround over the ... Read more

Boom Supersonic 2030 Passengers Will Be Twice as Fast Over Water

Boom Supersonic has completed its supersonic passenger plane factory, is flying a supersonic demonstrator plane and will have a new upgraded engine core by late 2025. They have over a total of over $700 million in funding. They are targeting 2030 for operation of a Mach 1.7 supersonic passenger jet. Boom has accelerated development of ... Read more

Boom Supersonic XB-1 Test Flights Toward Supersonic Passenger Jets in 2030-2035

The Boom XB-1 Baby Boom is a one-third-scale trijet supersonic demonstrator designed by Boom Technology as part of development of the Boom Overture supersonic transport airliner. It is powered by three General Electric J85s, it is planned to maintain Mach 2.2, with over 1,000 nautical miles. The XB-1 took its first flight on March 22, ... Read more

Mossad Has Exposed and is Eliminating Hezbollah

In the first Mission Impossible movie there was the NOC List. The Non-Official Cover List was a list of covert operatives of the Impossible Missions Force, showing their codenames and their real names. The reason it was so important? The only reason spies and their network are safe is because the enemy does not know ... Read more

The Hacksmith Created Heat Vision Equivalent Technology

The Hacksmith created a system for tracking eye motion to target shoulder mounted lasers. This is the equivalent functionality as superman’s heat vision. AdHawk and Wicked Lasers made the lasers. AdHawk Microsystems: https://ift.tt/IkEsLYj Wicked Lasers: https://ift.tt/FjyHfGe Eye-tracking technology enables laser control 📹 @thehacksmith#Science #Technology pic.twitter.com/4tm5kYCNdq — TechnoSci Hub (@TechnoSciHub) September 20, 2024 This hacking to ... Read more

Mars Society Proposed Using Robotic Cybertrucks

The Mars Society explored the idea of using advanced robotics for Mars exploration, as evidenced by competitions like the Telerobotic Mars Expedition Design Competition. Elon Musk and Tesla and SpaceX teams have talked about adapting the Cybertruck for Mars. Elon has joked that the Cybertruck is the official truck of Mars. Robotically controlled Cybertrucks could ... Read more

Institute for Study of War Reports Hamas Brigades Have Been Mostly Degraded

The Institute for the Study of War reports that Hamas Brigade in Rafah and Khan Younis are now militarily ineffective and three other brigades are substantially degraded. This goes through actual statistics of Hamas military effectiveness in Rafah and Khan Younis and mentions the degradation in the other three brigades. This also reviews the US ... Read more

Tesla Semi Ramping US, Europe and Asia

Tesla Semi Program Manager Dan Priestley gave a keynote address and Tesla Semi update at the IAA Transportation show in Hanover, Germany on Tuesday. The Pepsi drivers who use the new electric Tesla Semi say that do not want to go back to driving diesel trucks. Tesla has deployed megawatt charging that will charge the ... Read more

War Near? Israel Has About 40,000 Troops on the Border With Lebanon

There has been Israeli air force attacks on buildings and missile launchers in Lebanon and operated by Hezbollah. An IDF (Israeli Defense Forces) division (10000 to 20000 soldiers) are being moved to the border and joins about 20,000-30,000 other troops. Israel has had two major operations the pager explosives and ICOM radio explosives. The Israel ... Read more

Massive SpaceX Starship Capacity Makes Radiation Shielding Easy

The radiation dose for the 2.5 year round trip between Earth and Mars should give approximately a 1% lifetime increase of a fatal cancer. SpaceX Starship will totally change the situation on payload and travel times. The Starship will be refueled in Earth Orbit. All NASA missions to Mars have launched with multiple stages get ... Read more

Third Trump Failed Plot – Explosives at Long Island Rally Location

Nassau County Police have found explosives planted in a car at Trump’s rally site in Long Island. The rally was planned to start at 7pm. Video shows thousands had already gathered. FOOTAGE: Nassau County Police have found explosives planted in a car at Trump’s rally site in Long Island. pic.twitter.com/Kd6ivYJvtc — Ian Miles Cheong (@stillgray) ... Read more

Starlink versus Viasat Airplane Communication Services

J.P. Morgan predicts that Viasat, a competitor of Starlink, could lose up to $80 million of revenue per year due to @SpaceX’s new deal with United Airlines to equip its entire fleet of over 1,000 airplanes with Starlink internet service. The feature comparison of Starlink vs Viasat for passenger aircraft service is: Bandwidth Speed Viasat: ... Read more

Unconfirmed – Potential Global Problem IF Malware Can Make Battery Devices Explode

There are reports that hacking caused pagers to explode. Exploding devices could have left 1200+ (and 1500-2000) Hezbollah terrorists hospitalized and some in critical condition. While there are multiple reports. Confirmation is needed of many of the factors (fog of war). We don’t really know if it happened and do not know any possible death ... Read more

Optical Connections Between AI Chiplets Needed to Economically Solve Huge AI Hardware Demands

The economics for AI chips has to work for Chip builders System builders Data center operators Application builders Paying customer (end users). The bigger large language models are at 400 Gigabytes or more and mixture of experts is at 1.8 terabytes. TechTechPotato interviews AyarLabs and makes the case that optical connections between chiplets is needed ... Read more

Where in Barcelona is Best to Stay for Tourists?

Barcelona is one of the most loved city break destinations in Europe. With its ingenious city design, there are many great neighbourhoods to stay in. Choosing the right area is important to get the most out of your stay, depending on what you’re looking for. Gothic Quarter (Barri Gòtic) The Gothic Quarter is what first ... Read more

SpaceX Polaris Dawn’s Return and Splashdown off the Cost of Florida

SpaceX launched and returned commercial astronauts in the first crewed Polar mission and that mission included a space walk. Three countries (US, Russia and China) have performed Spacewalks on their own with their own rocket own facilities. The European Space Agency has not launched crewed mission or missions to the ISS. Astronauts from 12 countries ... Read more

SpaceX Demos Military Standard Laser Communication Between Satellites

SpaceX satellites built for the US Space Development Agency demonstrated direct satellite to satellite laser communications in space using optical terminals compliant with military standards. U.S. Space Development Agency (SDA) director Derek Tournear said Sept. 4. that two SpaceX-built satellites successfully exchanged data using optical communications terminals. The satellites, part of SDA’s Tranche 0 experimental ... Read more

The Hidden Cost of Return – Tackling E-Commerce’s Biggest Profit Killer

© Florian Giday, Managing Director of Arthy The rise in return rates is becoming a major concern for e-commerce, directly impacting profitability. The cost of retail returns in the United States soared to an astonishing $817 billion, with online retail contributing to about a quarter of this figure. Out of the $1.3 trillion in online ... Read more

Low Energy and Super-Efficient AI Chips

Taalas and Etched are two AI chip startups aiming to challenge Nvidia’s dominance in the AI hardware market. Etched is using ASIC chips. Taalas is using eASIC chips. They are both putting the logic into the hardware instead of using software on top of GPUs. There is the potential to get 100 to 1000 times ... Read more

United Will Offer SpaceX Starlink for Free on All Planes

United will add Starlink high speed internet to all of its passenger planes in 2025 and will offer free Wi-fi internet with streaming gaming to passengers. United will use high speed internet and entertainment as a competitive advantage. Starlink will make about $80-100 million per year providing this service. IF all other airlines need to ... Read more

OpenAI Strawberry LLM Reasoning Needs More Compute and Energy for Inference

Jim Fan is one of Nvidia’s senior AI researchers. The shift could be about many orders of magnitude more compute and energy needed for inference that can handle the improved reasoning in the OpenAI Strawberry (QStar) approach. This could mean far more powerful and energy intensive chips needed to run inference. Nextbigfuture had previously analyzed ... Read more

Hypersonic Plane Startup Hermes Making New Test Facilities

Hermeus is breaking ground on a new engine and flight test facility HEAT will accelerate US hypersonic development, offering increased testing cadence for not only Hermeus, but the DoD and larger defense industrial base. Hermeus has selected Cecil Airport in Jacksonville, Florida for its hypersonic engine test facility. Named HEAT (High Enthalpy Air-Breathing Test Facility), ... Read more

SpaceX Polaris Dawn Has Successful Commercial Space Walk

Polaris Dawn in polar orbit has the first successful commercial space walk. It is an altitude three times higher than the International Space Station. “SpaceX, back at home we all have a lot of work to do, but from here, Earth sure looks like a perfect world.” – Mission Commander @rookisaacman #PolarisDawn pic.twitter.com/F17Fq5ItQD — Polaris ... Read more

Google Quantum AI Proves Fault Tolerant Quantum Computing is Possible

Google Quantum AI has just proven, beyond any reasonable doubt, that Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing is possible. For the first time ever, a logical qubit meets all criteria, demonstrating that Quantum Error Correction is effective. Here is the link to the research paper. Many challenges remain. Although Google might in principle achieve low logical error rates ... Read more

Canada’s Population Pass 42 Million in 10 Weeks

Canada is about ten weeks from passing 42 million. Nextbigfuture predicted that Canada would pass 42 million in February 12, 2024 when Canada was within 3 weeks of passing 41 million. The US has about 337 million people. On June 16, 2023, Statistics Canada announced that Canada’s population had reached 40 million people. In 17 ... Read more

Multi-morbidity as a Definable Antiaging Target

Regulators such as the FDA do not consider aging to be a disease, and they only approve treatments for specific diseases, largely using the World Health Organization’s International Classification of Diseases as the basis for what is and is not a disease. The TAME (Targeting Aging with Metformin) trial came into being as a way ... Read more

Elon Musk Talks at the All-in Summit

Elon Musk said the government is the DMV (Department of Motor Vehicles) at scale. Elon talks about the Mars goals. Elon says Starship will be able to launch repeatedly at scale. The key development for multi-planetary humanity is for a reliably, rapidly, reusable rocket. 💥 Elon Musk LIVE at the All-In Summit https://ift.tt/sYNr6nW — Tesla ... Read more

SpaceX and Elon Needs About $10 Trillion to Spend $2-3 Trillion for the Mars City Program

SpaceX financial strength and success is as critical as a working Super Heavy Starship. There is a lot of valid and competent talk about the technical milestones on the critical path to meeting Musk goals for Mars. SpaceX will need to get to about $200 billion per year in profits to sustain spending $40-50 billion ... Read more

IF Nuclear Fission Energy Was Discovered Today it Would Be Hailed as Climate Change Solution

Billionaire Venture Investors BG2 (Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley) have dug deep into nuclear fission energy. They had their most recent podcast at Diablo Canyon. The California Diablo Canyon facility has two nuclear plants with a total 2.5 Gigawatts of clean baseload power. The California Diablo Canyon facility was designed for six nuclear plants. If ... Read more

Improved SpaceX EVA Suit and Dragon Adapted for EVA

There have been many technological improvements and upgrades made to the Crew Dragon Resilience to be used for the Polaris Dawn first commercial EVA. They have been big improvements for the EVA suits. These efforts will also be useful for eventual manned missions to the Moon and Mars. A key improvement is developing EVA suits ... Read more

SpaceX Polaris Dawn Private Space Walk Mission Launches Tomorrow if Weather is Good

This is a link to the SpaceX website where they will broadcast live feeds from the Polaris Dawn mission. Weather is currently 40% favorable for liftoff, and conditions at the possible splashdown sites for Dragon’s return to Earth remain a watch item. Tuesday launch is the earliest Targeting no earlier than Tuesday, September 10 for ... Read more

NASA and Blue Origin Delays New Glenn Escapade Mars Mission to 2025

The NASA New Glenn Escapade Mars launch, previously scheduled for Oct. 13, 2024, will now take place in spring of 2025 at the earliest. The NASA escapade spacecraft are small, so they can be launched outside of the optimal Earth-Mars window with a more powerful rocket. Blue Origin’s huge New Glenn rocket won’t debut next ... Read more

Musk Posts Uncrewed SpaceX Starships Will Launch Mars Nov-Dec 2026

Elon Musk says that uncrewed Starships will be launched to Mars in the Earth-Mars transfer window. The transfer window is about November through December 2026. A mission launched in November would arrive July 2027. SpaceX will likely launch about 4-8 missions in 2026. If they were separated by 1-2 weeks, then any problems the first ... Read more

Tesla FSD Roadmap from the AI Team

Tesla AI team released the FSD roadmap. Each FSD sale is the profit of a car. some of my FSD catalysts from a few months ago were late. 12.5 happened late in July. One month late on this roadmap is ok. But the team is driving and testing FSD V13 for over a month. They ... Read more

Big AI Funding and OpenAI’s GPT Next

Nextbigfuture at substack has all of the big AI news for the week. There was big news this week in AI, AI startups, AI research and AI funding. 1. OpenAI’s Japan CEO reveals GPT-Next will be released this year, and its effective computational load is 100x greater than GPT-4 2. Two $125 Billion AI Training ... Read more

Safe Superintelligence Valued at $5B and Raised $1B

10 weeks ago X-Chief Scientist of OpenAI, Ilya Sutskever said Superintelligence is within reach and created a new startup, Safe Superintelligence Inc. Ilya announced that Safe Superintelligence has raised $1 billion at a $5 billion valuation. NFDG, a16z, Sequoia, DST Global, and SV Angel are the main funders. Building safe superintelligence (SSI) is the most ... Read more

String Theory Has Failed for 40 Years

Eric Weinstein is a mathematician, economist, former Managing Director of Thiel Capital and a podcaster. Eric give his thoughts on the 2024 presidential election, whether we are being gaslit on a global scale by the media. Eric has many interesting ideas but this means people will not agree with all or possibly most of the ... Read more

Boeing’s Irresponsible Push to Fly Astronauts on Troubled Starliner

NASA and Boeing strongly disagreed about the safety of the Boeing Starliner. Boeing was convinced that the Starliner was in good enough condition to bring the astronauts home, and NASA strongly disagreed. NASA thought that Boeing was being wildly irresponsible. NASA decided to overrule Boeing and have Elon Musk’s Space X Crew Dragon bring the ... Read more

BREAKTHROUGH Venus Aerospace Rotating Detonating Engine With Air for Hypersonic Drone by end of 2025

Venus Aerospace, developing hypersonic flight a reality for commercial and defense purposes, has achieved the first long-duration engine test of their Rotating Detonation Rocket Engine (RDRE) in partnership with DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency). They have a detonation ramjet engine and a rotating detonation rocket engine. Venus Aerospace has raised over $48 million in ... Read more

China Hypersonic Prototype Plane Flight Tests for 2025 and Commercialization in 2035

Nanqiang No. 1 is a small (500 kilogram) ground testing model for a Chinese hypersonic plane program. They have completed over two years of testing. In 2025, China will flight test a small drone. In 2025, construction of a 72 ton hypersonic plane will begin. They are targeting 2028 for flight tests of a hypersonic ... Read more

Testing FSD and Robotrucking With the Tesla Semi Videos From Hinrichs Zanegler

Tesla has always used lidar to calibrate autopilot and FSD. This is one valid use-case for lidar. Hinrichs Zanegler has published videos of the Tesla Semi starting robotrucking tests. The prototype production is scaling up as Zanegler shows pictures of 23 Tesla Semis parked together. Tesla is scaling up to a few hundred serial production ... Read more

Aviation Week Believes Secret SR-72 Plane is in Production at Lockheed Martin

A classified contract that involves a highly complex design and systems integration project fell $45 million deeper into losses at Lockheed. Based on Lockheed’s quarterly filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, that places the total Lockheed losses associated with this single shadow program up to some $335 million since 2022. Between February 2018, ... Read more