Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts from August, 2024

Path to Fast Solar Sails

We need to make bigger solar sails from materials that can take high temperatures. Taking high temperatures means the solar sails could fly closer to the sun. If we got four times closer to the sun than Mercury (9 million miles or so )then we could go 20AU per year which is about 3 times ... Read more

Tesla Dojo vs Nvidia H100 vs Etched Sohu

There has been several updates on the numbers of Tesla Dojo systems that have been built. The main technical details are compared between the Tesla Dojo version 1 and the Nvidia H100 and chips from a startup Etched. These are some of the main AI chips that are competing for the future multi-trillion AI training ... Read more

Why Adaptable Businesses Are Built Better

Every business owner wants their business to succeed, but unfortunately, not all of them will. There are both objective and subjective factors that can influence the survivability of your company, and it pays to study both successful and unsuccessful examples of businesses so that you can put yours in a better position to succeed. Adaptable ... Read more

China EV Maker BYD Burning Billions in Cash

BYD has another quarter of billions in quarterly negative free cash flow. BYD is the major competitor to Tesla for the number of electric vehicles they make. In the fourth quarter of 2023, BYD made more electric cars than Tesla but since then Tesla has retaken the lead in electric car production. BYD is selling ... Read more

After AGI and After the Singularity There Will Be a Computronium Universe

Humanity is on the verge of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence). Futurist Ray Kurzweil predicted decades ago that we would reach AGI in 2029. AI and Large Language Models could reach AGI sooner than 2029. However, the definitions of artificial intelligence that surpasses individual humans has issues around definitions and measurement. Kurzweil also predicted the Singularity ... Read more

Tomorrow Launch of SpaceX Polaris Dawn- Leading to First Commercial Space Walk

Tomorrow should be the start of a SpaceX Dragon mission that will take advantage of Falcon 9 and Dragon’s maximum performance, flying higher than any Dragon mission to date and endeavoring to reach the highest Earth orbit ever flown. Orbiting through portions of the Van Allen radiation belt, Polaris Dawn will conduct research with the ... Read more

Summary of Boeing Problems

Here’s a summary of the major problems associated with various Boeing aircraft models and projects, based on the information available up to August 2024: Boeing 737 MAX Crashes: Two fatal crashes (Lion Air Flight 610 in 2018 and Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 in 2019) led to the grounding of the entire fleet due to issues ... Read more

Human Actors and Some Humanoid Robots

2024 World Robotics Conference in China has two human actors in front of some humanoid robots. This video from the 2024 World Robotics Conference in China is going viral Hate to break it to you: The front two ‘robots’ are human actors (just look at the hands) Seems like the point of the demo was ... Read more

NASA Finds Oceans of Deep Water on Mars

The data from NASA’s Insight lander allowed the scientists to estimate that the amount of deep groundwater could cover the entire planet to a depth of between 1 and 2 kilometers, or about a mile. A cutout of the Martian interior beneath NASA’s Insight lander. The top 5 kilometers of the crust appear to be ... Read more

Is USA and Chinese Economy More Government Controlled?

The US Federal government is projected to spend about $6.5 trillion (23% of US GDP in 2024). The US government’s Bureau of Economic Analysis as of Q3 2023 estimates $10.0 Trillion in annual total government expenditure and $27.6 trillion annual total GDP which is 36.2%. The OECD for 2021 shows general US government spending at ... Read more

100 Meter Record Under 9 Seconds is Possible

Usain Bolt has the world record for the 100 meters at 9.58. He did not run his best race as he often would look around at the finish. If we combined his best 20 meter sections then Bolt could have run 9.52. This would take his best start, best finish etc… There many records set ... Read more

Astroforge Raised $40 Million for Asteroid Mining

AstroForge announced it has raised $40 million in a Series A funding round led by Nova Threshold, including investments from 776, Initialized, Caladan, YC, Uncorrelated Ventures, and Jed McCaleb. The funding brought AstroForge’s total capital to $55 million. AstroForge has several upcoming missions, including the development of its third mission, Vestri. Scheduled to launch in ... Read more

Impact of Taxing Unrealized Gains and Doubling Corporate Taxes

Here is a 2015 Stanford analysis of the impact of venture capital backed companies. The importance and contribution of companies that were started with venture capital has only increased. Venture capital backed companies are now well over half of the value of the SP500 stock index. Tax increases get passed along. The rich run the ... Read more

Full Eric Schmidt Stanford Talk

The Eric Schmidt Stanford talk keeps getting censored on Youtube. It is a very important talk with a lot of insights for the future of AI. People need to see the whole thing. Former Google CEO tells AI startups to steal content and hire lawyersEric Schmidt, Google’s one-time CEO and executive chairman, gave a recent ... Read more

Tesla FSD For Safer Driving and Lower Insurance Costs

There are reports that Tesla FSD Supervised is enabling drivers scores to be increased from 90 to 100 which reduces the Tesla insurance premium by $70 per month. This nearly offsets the $99 per month Tesla insurance cost. For two years, I have predicted that Tesla FSD Supervised becoming safer than human and enabling increased ... Read more

Tesla FSD With Same Testers Show FSD 12.5.1.3 is 4X Safer Than V 12.3.6

The TeslaFSDTracker.com (community crowdsourced data) had 260+ testers sign up and report data. @raines1220 has compared FSD testers who have used all versions of FSD and found large improvement in the versions. v12.5.1.3 is ~14x better overall and ~4x safer than v12.3.6 Most testers have not been consistent. There’s only only a handful of people ... Read more

National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence

AI is not a single technology breakthrough, like a bat-wing stealth bomber. The race for AI supremacy is not like the space race to the moon. AI is not even comparable to a general-purpose technology like electricity. However, what Thomas Edison said of electricity encapsulates the AI future: “It is a field of fields … ... Read more

Eric Schmidt’s Stanford Talk Is Filled With AI, Business and Geopolitical Insight

Eric Schmidt’s recent talk at Stanford University in 2024 covered a range of provocative topics: Google’s AI Strategy: Schmidt criticized Google’s focus on work-life balance, suggesting it hindered their competitiveness in AI against companies like OpenAI and Anthropic. He praised Elon Musk, startups and TSMC for their rigorous work environments. TSMC even makes physics PhDs ... Read more

Blue Origin New Glenn Status and Factory Tour

Everyday Astronaut, Tim Dodd, got a tour from Blue Origin Executive Chariman Jeff Bezos of the Blue Origin New Glenn rocket production facilities. 00:00 – Intro 00:40 – Interview Starts [Lobby] 05:20 – Recovering Saturn V Engines 08:35 – Tank Production 16:40 – Second Stage 23:50 – Aft Section 33:15 – Forward Section 42:08 – ... Read more

Nvidia Blackwell B200 Chip Delays? Or Not Delayed?

There have been reports that Nvidia was delaying its next-generation artificial intelligence chips by at least three months. Mass shipments may not take place until early 2025. There are other reports that to maximize the available CoWoS-L capacity, Nvidia is replacing B100 with B200A which is using CoWoS-S, thereby freeing up scarce CoWoS-L capacity for ... Read more

What is the Value of XAI and X Now and Can They Reach $80 Billion Each Within 5 Months ?

People say that X aka Twitter was a bad investment because advertising revenue is down from when Elon Musk purchased it at $44 billion. The losses are not that bad while advertising is down, Elon was able to drastically reduce costs and headcount. X also added subscription revenue. A major thing that people forget is ... Read more

Custom Up-Armored Tesla Cybertruck is Heavy Machine Gun Resistant

Archimedes Defense, a recognized leader in high-power solutions for government and defense applications, has partnered with Unplugged Performance and its specialized fleet division, UP.FIT, to develop STING. For those facing extreme threats, STING APC is the ultimate defense upgrade, offering enhanced IED/mine protection and upgraded bolt-on, bolt-off external offset steel and ceramic armor plating, meticulously ... Read more

Boring Company Path to Continuous Tunneling

Boring Company Prurfock 3 and the new Prufrock 4 tunneling machines can only tunnel about 11 hours per day. There are limitations are maintenance and how they have to stop tunneling to put in the concrete segments. The Boring Company likely has a program to rapidly develop and test new machines to reach the goal ... Read more

August 6 China Upper Stage Explodes and Leaves Dangerous Space Junk

On Tuesday morning (Aug. 6), a Chinese Long March 6A rocket launched the first 18 satellites for the Qianfan (“Thousand Sails”) broadband network, which will eventually host up to 14,000 spacecraft. The rocket successfully delivered the satellites to low Earth orbit (LEO), at an altitude of about 500 miles (800 kilometers) but then its upper ... Read more

Billion Dollar Startup Sakana AI Makes First AI Scientist

Japanese startup Sakana AI claims they have built the world’s first AI Scientist. One of the grand challenges of artificial general intelligence is developing agents capable of conducting scientific research and discovering new knowledge. This new work is a major advance toward that goal. While frontier models have already been used as aids to human ... Read more

Decentralized AI Network HyperCycle Sets Out To Make A Splash At Ai4 2024

The decentralized artificial intelligence compute network startup HyperCycle is hoping to get some attention this week as it enters the spotlight at Ai4 2024, one of the hottest AI events on the calendar. HyperCycle is unusual compared to most other decentralized AI players in that its distributed network is not based on a blockchain. Rather, ... Read more

Figure 2 Humanoid Bot

The Figure 02 humanoid bot is an improved humanoid bot. Speech-to-speech reasoning: Figure 02 can have full conversations with humans. Onboard mics + speakers + custom AI models (partnered with OpenAI) = a robot you can actually talk to. The human-scale hands are equipped with 16 degrees of freedom and human-equivalent strength which enables a ... Read more

XAI Releasing Grok 2 Beta that Is Competitive With OpenAI GPT 4 and Anthropic Claud 3.5

Grok at XAI will likely update to Grok 2 tomorrow. Elon posted that the Grok 2 beta release is soon. Elon Musk has previously stated that Grok 2 should beat GPT 4 on most metrics. However, there have been some improved versions from OpenAI and Anthropic. Grok 2 beta release soon pic.twitter.com/t6e9RcXPkl — Elon Musk ... Read more

SpaceX New Raptor 3 Fires

SpaceX has shown a test firing of the new Raptor 3 engine. The new engine has removed so many parts that United Launch Alliance CEO Tory Bruno thought it was incomplete. SpaceX President & COO Gwynne Shotwell joins broadband.io and Ready.net CEO Jase Wilson for a fireside chat at Mountain Connect 2024. Works pretty good ... Read more

Revolutionizing Heat Transport with 4X Efficiency: Japanese Researchers Break World Record

In a groundbreaking development, scientists at Nagoya University in Japan have created the world’s most powerful loop heat pipe (LHP), capable of transporting an astounding 10 kilowatts of heat without using any electricity. This innovation promises to revolutionize energy efficiency across multiple industries, from electric vehicles to data centers. Understanding Loop Heat Pipes Before delving ... Read more

Ukraine Invasion in Russia in the Kursk Region

Ukraine has taken a few hundred square kilometers of territory in Russia in the Kursk region. This is an escalation of the Ukraine Russia war. IF Ukraine can hold the territory then it would be possible for an exchange of territory to occur in a possible peace settlement. It does increase the probability that Russia ... Read more

Precooled F-100 Engine Combined with Ramjet for Hypersonic Drone and Jets

The startup Hermeus is rapidly developing a hypersonic plane. They have begun testing their proprietary precooler technology with the Pratt & Whitney F100 engine. This video highlights some of our favorite camera angles from testing. What’s a precooler and why are they testing it? The Hermeus precooler increases the maximum speed of the turbine engine ... Read more

Beakthrough Towards Highest-performance Superconducting Wire Beating Copper on Price Performance

High Temperature Superconductor (HTS) wires must be be better than copper wire on price-performance metrics before copper can be widely replaced. A HTS wire segment shows the energy density properties that are five to ten times better than commercial HTS wire. It will need to be scaled up to the hundreds of tons of production ... Read more

Gene Editing and Radical Life Extension

George Church spoke at Aubrey de Grey’s conference to discuss using gene editing to provide radical life extension. George is hopeful that gene editing can be used to realize longevity escape velocity. Longevity escape velocity is where we add one year of life extension to people life in less than one year. If Longevity escape ... Read more

Possible Signs of Life on Venus With Detection of Phosphine and Amonia

On July 17, 2024, two research teams reported that have re-detected the phosphine, and have tentatively found ammonia as well. Phospine and ammonia are produced by living microorganisms. It’s not proof that living microbes are floating around in Venus’ atmosphere. The findings presented at the national astronomy meeting in Hull on Wednesday bolster evidence for ... Read more

NASA Finds Mars Rock That Might Reveal Evidence of Ancient Life

NASA scientists have now discovered a single place on Mars with signs it once hosted all three of life’s main ingredients: liquid water, energy, and organic molecules. On July 21, NASA’s Perseverance rover spotted a strange rock partially buried in a dry riverbed. White streaks hinted water once flowed through the stone, and Perseverance detected ... Read more

Can They Prevent the Starliner From Colliding With the Space Station?

NASA is worried that multiple small reaction control system thrusters could fail while the Starliner is near the space station and cause a disaster. There are combinations of Starliner thrusters failures would make it become uncontrollable and cause a collision with the space station. The thrusters are needed later in the flight back to Earth ... Read more

BREAKTHRUGH Nanonuclear CEO Reveals Safe Nuclear Reactor on Wheels

Nanonuclear is vertically integrated microreactor and advanced nuclear technology company that raised $20 million on July 18, 2024 in a stock offering and had raised $8 million in earlier funding. Brian Wang of Nextbigfuture interviewed the CEO James Walker. Mr. Walker is a Nuclear Physicist and was the project lead and manager for constructing the ... Read more

NASA Should Not Risk Astronauts on Boeing Starliner

Ars Technica reports that there has been a lot of recent activity at NASA, Boeing, and SpaceX. This activity suggests that two ISS astronauts (Wilmore and Williams) could come home aboard a Crew Dragon spacecraft rather than Starliner. Nextbigfuture believes that it is a needless risk to have the astronauts return on Boeing Starliner. Multiple ... Read more

SpaceX Superdragon and Starship Improvements

NASA awarded SpaceX a contract for $843 million to make a giant version of the Dragon Spacecraft to de-orbit the Space Station. It will use 47 Draco engines instead of the 16 on the Crew dragon. It will four times the thrust and six times the propellant. If there was ever a mission to move ... Read more

SpaceX Reveals Raptor 3 Engine and Specifications

SpaceX has unveiled the Raptor 3 engine, marking significant advancements in thrust, specific impulse, and mass efficiency compared to previous versions. The Raptor 3 boasts a thrust of 280 tf, a specific impulse of 350s, and an engine mass of 1525 kg. The SpaceX Raptor 3 engine has potential to exceed 300 tons of thrust ... Read more

Microsoft CTO on the Future of AI

Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott says that the AI large language models are still exponentially scaling. It takes 6-24 months to reach each successive scaling node but the scaling is still working. AI Inference is becoming larger than AI training. The data for AI training is different than the reference data used by AI to generate ... Read more

Les Fridman Interviews Elon Musk on the Future of Humanity for 8 Hours

Lex Fridman interviews Elon Musk and the Neuralink team on the Future of Humanity for over 8 hours. Lex interviews them in sequence. Elon Musk is CEO of Neuralink, SpaceX, Tesla, xAI, and CTO of X. DJ Seo is COO & President of Neuralink. Matthew MacDougall is Head Neurosurgeon at Neuralink. Bliss Chapman is Brain ... Read more

NASA Considers Boeing Starliner or SpaceX Dragon to Return Astonauts

NASA and Boeing continue to analyze the Boeing Starliner at the International Space Station. The Boeing Starliner has been delayed about six weeks before a planned return flight of two astronauts. Michael Tzukran is a satellite photographer who captured a picture of the Boeing Starliner being inspected by the Canadarm. NASA said SpaceX’s Crew Dragon ... Read more

Elon Meeting With Hyundai CEO This Weekend to Discuss Cooperation

Elon Musk will meet Samsung CEO Lee Jae-yong and Hyundai CEO Chung Eui-sun in Paris in early August. It is reported they will dine in Paris this weekend. They will also discuss the development of next-generation technologies and explore ways to cooperate. The meeting was reportedly made at the suggestion of Chairman Lee Jae-yong. Elon ... Read more

Startup Works to Prove a Room Temperature Superconductor LK99 Variant

A startup, Cutting Edge Superconductors, claims to have a variant of the South Korean LK99 room temperature superconductor that shows low resistance and some weak evidence of meissner effect and quantum locking. The sample is tiny. They are trying to get a few hundred thousand in SBIR and NASA grants and $600,000 in crowdfunding. The ... Read more

Open Advanced Voice Mode is the Star Trek Universal Translator

OpenAI has starting to roll out advanced Voice Mode to a small group of ChatGPT Plus users. Advanced Voice Mode offers more natural, real-time conversations, allows you to interrupt anytime, and senses and responds to your emotions. Advanced voice mode can translate between languages in realtime. It can also sing and do other voice generation ... Read more